Brazil Pain Map · Interactive · Stromfee.ai World Study

📍 State 🏢 IPPs ⚖ Law 15,269/2025

Tip: click a state on the map.

… select a state.

Pain-score formula: installed GW × avg curtailment % 2025 = relative ranking. Peaks: RN 151 · BA 126 · CE 94 · PI 93 (Northeast dominates). Visualization: color heatmap red=high, green=low, grey=no data.
Data source: br_market.bundesstaat_curtailment + br_market.ipp_pain_ranking (ClickHouse stromfee.ai). Sources: ONS Set 2025, ANEEL 2025, pv-magazine + Canal Solar. Note: Curtailment-MWh values are Stromfee estimates 2025 based on ONS cumulative 48.7 TWh since 2023 — not hard annual values.

What you see on the map

🔴 Rio Grande do Norte is the hotspot — 8,3 GW (Wind 7,1 + Solar 1,2) / 21 % Avg curtailment 2025. Wind-Dominanz + Netzengpässe Recife-Linie.
🟠 Bahia dominates by volume — 13 GW (Solar 6,8 + Wind 6,2) / 18,5 % Curtailment. TUST conflict + voltage stability issues.
🟠 Ceará + Piauí — top-3 pain. Ceará suffers from TUST conflict + wind cluster, Piauí has had a solar-park boom since 2024 with grid deficits.
🟡 Minas Gerais — moderate curtailment pressure (6,2 %), but largest solar-plant fleet in Brazil (8,9 GW). DG saturation + diesel-backup conflict.
🟢 South (RS, SC, PR) — low curtailment pressure due to hydro dominance and UHE preference in ONS merit order. RS has 12.4 % due to wind peaks.

Cross Links

▸ Brazil detail study (EN) · ▸ World Study 2026 (EN) · ▸ BR Live Power Price PLD · ▸ India Pain Map (comparison) · ▸ DE version

Request Stromfee Brazil pilot →

Brazil Pain Map
— Curtailment Pain per State.

Top-10 IPP Pain Ranking

Law 15,269/2025 Veto Crisis

What you see on the map

Cross Links

Brazil Pain Map— Curtailment Pain per State.

Top-10 IPP Pain Ranking

Law 15,269/2025 Veto Crisis

What you see on the map

Cross Links

Brazil Pain Map
— Curtailment Pain per State.